Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Lugano — EHC Kloten
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lugano are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Lugano are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lugano — EHC Kloten | 3.0–1.9 | |
| Lugano to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lugano
- Lugano goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Biel3:2
- 09.10Zurich2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Lausanne5:2
- 04.10away · Ajoie4:5
- 02.10Rapperswil-Jona5:2
- 11.10Zug1:3
- 09.10away · Davos4:1
- 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
- 02.10Fribourg1:4
- 29.09away · Servette0:4
Head to head
- 18.09.2026EHC Kloten — Lugano5:2
- 07.03.2026EHC Kloten — Lugano2:1 OT
- 05.12.2025Lugano — EHC Kloten4:1
- 14.11.2025EHC Kloten — Lugano1:2
- 05.10.2025Lugano — EHC Kloten5:4 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Ajoie | 11 | 2 | -3 | 16 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lugano | 10 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 11 | 2 | -17 | 9 |
National League on the same day
- AjoieServettepreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- DavosBernpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- FribourgBielpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Rapperswil-JonaAmbri-Piottapreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- ZugLausannepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- ZurichLangnau Tigerspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →