Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Davos — Bern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Davos are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Davos are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Davos — Bern | 2.7–2.1 | |
| Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Davos
- Davos goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Servette2:3
- 09.10EHC Kloten1:4
- 03.10away · Biel3:4
- 02.10Ajoie3:1
- 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
- 10.10away · Ambri-Piotta2:1 OT
- 09.10Biel4:2
- 03.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:4 OT
- 02.10Servette2:3 SO
- 29.09away · Fribourg2:5
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Bern — Davos5:2
- 30.01.2026Davos — Bern2:1
- 19.12.2025Bern — Davos2:3 OT
- 22.11.2025Bern — Davos0:3
- 12.10.2025Davos — Bern2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zug | 7 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
| 11 | Davos | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
National League on the same day
- AjoieServettepreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- FribourgBielpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- LuganoEHC Klotenpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Rapperswil-JonaAmbri-Piottapreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- ZugLausannepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- ZurichLangnau Tigerspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →