Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Almaty — Gornyak Rudny
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Gornyak Rudny are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Gornyak Rudny are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Almaty — No. 7, 18 pts; Gornyak Rudny — No. 4, 25 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Almaty 1 win, Gornyak Rudny 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almaty — Gornyak Rudny | 2.4–3.2 | |
| Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Gornyak Rudny to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almaty
- Almaty goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Gornyak Rudny5:2
- 11.10Gornyak Rudny0:3
- 07.10away · Beibarys Atyrau3:5
- 06.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:1
- 03.10away · Kokshetau2:3
- 12.10away · Almaty2:5
- 11.10away · Almaty3:0
- 07.10Karaganda1:4
- 06.10Karaganda5:3
- 03.10Aktobe7:1
Head to head
- 12.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny5:2
- 11.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny0:3
- 25.01.2026Gornyak Rudny — Almaty7:3
- 24.01.2026Gornyak Rudny — Almaty5:2
- 15.12.2025Gornyak Rudny — Almaty4:3 OT
Table
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 12882The model's most likely outcome: 212%Model's score: 2:56.3
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
- 01002The model's most likely outcome: 21%Model's score: 1:89.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →