Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Aktobe — Nomad Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Nomad Astana are clear favourites: 88% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.
Why
- Nomad Astana are more dangerous in attack: 4.4 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aktobe — Nomad Astana | 1.9–4.4 | |
| Aktobe to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 12% | |
| Nomad Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 88% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 65% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Aktobe
- Aktobe goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
- 12.10Beibarys Atyrau2:1
- 08.10away · Pavlodar6:0
- 07.10away · Pavlodar5:2
- 03.10away · Gornyak Rudny1:7
- 11.10away · Kokshetau4:2
- 10.10away · Kokshetau2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Torpedo3:2 SO
- 06.10away · Torpedo3:2 OT
- 02.10Kulager5:4 SO
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Aktobe — Nomad Astana3:5
- 19.09.2026Aktobe — Nomad Astana3:6
- 08.01.2026Nomad Astana — Aktobe3:1
- 07.01.2026Nomad Astana — Aktobe4:0
- 02.11.2025Nomad Astana — Aktobe3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Nomad Astana | 18 | 16 | +47 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | Torpedo | 18 | 13 | +52 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Almaty | 18 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs | Aktobe | 18 | 4 | -38 | 9 |
| 9 | Beibarys Atyrau | 18 | 3 | -21 | 8 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
- 01002The model's most likely outcome: 21%Model's score: 1:89.4
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →