Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Ambri-Piotta — Fribourg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Fribourg are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Ambri-Piotta — No. 8, 15 pts; Fribourg — No. 4, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ambri-Piotta 2 wins, Fribourg 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ambri-Piotta — Fribourg | 2.4–2.7 | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ambri-Piotta
- Ambri-Piotta goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
- 10.10away · Zurich4:5 OT
- 08.10Ajoie7:2
- 03.10Ambri-Piotta1:2
- 02.10away · EHC Kloten4:1
- 29.09Bern5:2
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Fribourg — Ambri-Piotta1:2
- 27.01.2026Fribourg — Ambri-Piotta4:3 OT
- 19.12.2025Ambri-Piotta — Fribourg5:6 OT
- 15.11.2025Ambri-Piotta — Fribourg4:2
- 27.09.2025Fribourg — Ambri-Piotta3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Langnau Tigers | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fribourg | 11 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Ajoie | 11 | 2 | -3 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
National League on the same day
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →