Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

EHC Kloten — Lausanne

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Model prediction for 20 October

EHC Kloten32%
Draw in regulation22%
Lausanne45%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Lausanne are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Lausanne are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: EHC Kloten — Lausanne2.2–2.6
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap EHC Kloten
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Form

EHC Kloten

  • 11.10Zug1:3
  • 09.10away · Davos4:1
  • 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
  • 02.10Fribourg1:4
  • 29.09away · Servette0:4

Lausanne

  • 10.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:1
  • 07.10Lugano2:5
  • 03.10away · Zurich2:3 OT
  • 02.10Biel7:4
  • 30.09Servette6:5 SO

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026EHC Kloten — Lausanne2:3 OT
  • 01.11.2025EHC Kloten — Lausanne2:1
  • 01.10.2025Lausanne — EHC Kloten2:1
  • 20.09.2025Lausanne — EHC Kloten3:5
  • 14.02.2025EHC Kloten — Lausanne1:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLugano10411436–33+315
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne11411534–38-415
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta10411426–32-615
13, Relegation play-offBiel10301631–35-410
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten11211723–40-179

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →