NHL · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Anaheim Ducks — Boston Bruins

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Model prediction for 17 October

Anaheim Ducks37%
Draw in regulation23%
Boston Bruins40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Anaheim Ducks 48%, Boston Bruins 52% including overtime.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Boston Bruins2.9–3.0
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
  • 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT

Boston Bruins

  • 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4

Head to head

  • 20.11.2025Anaheim Ducks — Boston Bruins4:3
  • 24.10.2025Boston Bruins — Anaheim Ducks5:7
  • 27.03.2025Anaheim Ducks — Boston Bruins6:2
  • 23.02.2025Boston Bruins — Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
  • 27.10.2023Boston Bruins — Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →