NHL · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils

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Model prediction for 17 October

Washington Capitals45%
Draw in regulation23%
New Jersey Devils31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Washington Capitals are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2.9–2.5
Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Washington Capitals

  • 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
  • 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
  • 10.10New York Rangers3:1
  • 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3

New Jersey Devils

  • 14.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
  • 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals7:3
  • 21.03.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:1
  • 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals3:4 OT
  • 16.11.2025Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:3 SO
  • 01.12.2024New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals5:6

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
19Washington Capitals630319–18+16
20Nashville Predators522114–1406
21San Jose Sharks530213–17-46
22New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
23Dallas Stars521211–8+35

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →