NHL · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2 OTMissed
In short
Final score 3:2 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Florida Panthers to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Anaheim Ducks 49%, Florida Panthers 51% including overtime.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Florida Panthers | 2.9–3.0 | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim Ducks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.10away · Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 15.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 13.05away · Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT
- 11.05Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 09.05Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
- 30.09away · Carolina Hurricanes1:0 OT
- 16.04Detroit Red Wings8:1
- 14.04New York Rangers3:2
- 12.04away · Toronto Maple Leafs6:2
Head to head
- 05.11.2025Anaheim Ducks — Florida Panthers7:3
- 29.10.2025Florida Panthers — Anaheim Ducks2:3 SO
- 22.01.2025Anaheim Ducks — Florida Panthers2:5
- 19.01.2025Florida Panthers — Anaheim Ducks3:0
- 15.01.2024Florida Panthers — Anaheim Ducks4:5 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 5 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 18 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 6 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
Next matches
- Los Angeles KingsFlorida Panthers7 October · NHL52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- Anaheim DucksEdmonton Oilers8 October · NHL46542The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:5, exactly right.6.4
NHL on the same day
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →