NHL · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers — Utah Mammoth
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4:2Came true
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, New York Rangers to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
New York Rangers are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
- Utah Mammoth: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: New York Rangers 1 win, Utah Mammoth 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Rangers — Utah Mammoth | 2.9–2.6 | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Rangers
- New York Rangers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10away · Detroit Red Wings2:0
- 02.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 30.09away · Boston Bruins0:3
- 16.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:2
- 14.04away · Florida Panthers2:3
- 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1
- 02.10Chicago Blackhawks6:0
- 02.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 30.04away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
- 28.04Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
Head to head
- 06.01.2026New York Rangers — Utah Mammoth2:3 OT
- 23.11.2025Utah Mammoth — New York Rangers3:2
- 17.01.2025Utah Mammoth — New York Rangers3:5
- 13.10.2024New York Rangers — Utah Mammoth5:6 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
Next matches
- New Jersey DevilsUtah Mammoth7 October · NHL45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- New York RangersNew York Islanders7 October · NHL57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →