NHL · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:1Came true
In short
Final score 6:1: the model's most likely outcome, Seattle Kraken to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Seattle Kraken are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Seattle Kraken are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
- Seattle Kraken: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 02.10away · Calgary Flames6:1
- 17.04away · Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 16.04away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 14.04Los Angeles Kings3:5
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
- 02.10Seattle Kraken1:6
- 17.04Los Angeles Kings3:1
- 15.04Colorado Avalanche1:3
- 13.04Utah Mammoth4:1
Head to head
- 02.10.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:6
- 12.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames4:1
- 06.01.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:5
- 19.12.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:2
- 26.03.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 6 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 6 | 4 | +9 | 8 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 31 | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 | 0 | -20 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 5 | 0 | -19 | 0 |
Next matches
- Seattle KrakenVegas Golden Knights7 October · NHL42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- Calgary FlamesColorado Avalanche9 October · NHL36642The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
NHL on the same day
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →