DEL (German hockey league) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Augsburger Panther — Frankfurt Lowen

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Model prediction for 29 October

Augsburger Panther46%
Draw in regulation21%
Frankfurt Lowen33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Augsburger Panther are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Augsburger Panther are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Augsburger Panther — No. 6, 14 pts; Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Augsburger Panther 3 wins, Frankfurt Lowen 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Augsburger Panther — Frankfurt Lowen3.0–2.6
Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Augsburger Panther

  • 11.10away · Krefeld Pinguine2:1
  • 09.10Bremerhaven3:0
  • 04.10away · Munchen2:4
  • 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
  • 27.09Kolner4:6

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
  • 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
  • 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
  • 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
  • 27.09away · Munchen4:1

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Augsburger Panther — Frankfurt Lowen6:3
  • 19.12.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Augsburger Panther3:4 OT
  • 25.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Augsburger Panther4:2
  • 19.10.2025Augsburger Panther — Frankfurt Lowen5:3
  • 14.02.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Augsburger Panther5:4 SO

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →