AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Bakersfield Condors — Abbotsford Canucks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bakersfield Condors are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Bakersfield Condors are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Bakersfield Condors — No. 20, 4 pts; Abbotsford Canucks — No. 24, 3 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Bakersfield Condors 4 wins, Abbotsford Canucks 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Abbotsford Canucks | 2.9–2.7 | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bakersfield Condors
- Bakersfield Condors goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Calgary Wranglers5:4
- 10.10away · Calgary Wranglers1:2
- 05.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:1
- 04.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:4
- 27.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds2:6
- 11.10away · Colorado Eagles4:3
- 10.10away · Colorado Eagles3:4 SO
- 04.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
- 03.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
- 20.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds4:2
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Bakersfield Condors — Abbotsford Canucks3:2
- 31.01.2026Bakersfield Condors — Abbotsford Canucks7:2
- 08.01.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Bakersfield Condors1:4
- 07.01.2026Abbotsford Canucks — Bakersfield Condors3:5
- 17.04.2025Bakersfield Condors — Abbotsford Canucks1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
| 24 | Abbotsford Canucks | 4 | 1 | -4 | 3 | .375 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Toronto MarliesHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Rochester AmericansLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →