KHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bars Kazan 50%, Avangard Omsk 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk | 2.3–2.3 | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars Kazan
- Bars Kazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
Head to head
- 17.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan2:5
- 06.01.2026Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk1:2
- 21.09.2025Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk1:6
- 08.09.2025Avangard Omsk — Bars Kazan1:2
- 08.03.2025Bars Kazan — Avangard Omsk0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
KHL on the same day
- Dinamo MinskBarys Astanapreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
- CSKA MoscowTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Dynamo MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →