KHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
CSKA Moscow — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.
Why
- CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.4–2.0 | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 32% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 06.03.2026CSKA Moscow — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:0
- 05.12.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — CSKA Moscow2:3
- 21.11.2024Tractor Chelyabinsk — CSKA Moscow5:2
- 05.10.2024CSKA Moscow — Tractor Chelyabinsk0:4
- 03.12.2023Tractor Chelyabinsk — CSKA Moscow3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- Bars KazanAvangard Omskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Dinamo MinskBarys Astanapreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Dynamo MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →