KHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo Minsk — No. 12, 17 pts; Barys Astana — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Minsk 4 wins, Barys Astana 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana | 3.4–2.0 | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
- 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
- 30.09away · Bars Kazan1:4
Head to head
- 22.09.2025Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana1:0 OT
- 13.09.2025Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk1:3
- 21.10.2024Dinamo Minsk — Barys Astana1:2
- 13.09.2024Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk1:5
- 27.10.2023Barys Astana — Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- Bars KazanAvangard Omskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- CSKA MoscowTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Dynamo MoscowKhabarovskpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →