KHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Bars Kazan — Khabarovsk

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Model prediction for 30 October

Bars Kazan52%
Draw in regulation22%
Khabarovsk26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bars Kazan are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Khabarovsk2.7–1.9
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bars Kazan
  • Bars Kazan goals
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Form

Bars Kazan

  • 12.10Sochi2:3
  • 10.10Cherepovets1:4
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
  • 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
  • 30.09Barys Astana4:1

Khabarovsk

  • 12.10Lada1:0
  • 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
  • 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Khabarovsk — Bars Kazan0:3
  • 15.01.2026Khabarovsk — Bars Kazan3:5
  • 05.10.2025Bars Kazan — Khabarovsk3:1
  • 03.10.2025Bars Kazan — Khabarovsk5:1
  • 16.01.2025Khabarovsk — Bars Kazan5:4

Full record: 41 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1481523–20+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow1472536–28+816
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1571734–35-115
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →