KHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Lada — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — Avangard Omsk | 1.9–3.0 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lada
- Lada goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
Head to head
- 02.10.2026Avangard Omsk — Lada4:1
- 28.12.2025Avangard Omsk — Lada4:3 SO
- 18.11.2025Lada — Avangard Omsk0:3
- 06.02.2025Lada — Avangard Omsk1:2
- 28.12.2024Avangard Omsk — Lada7:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- Bars KazanKhabarovskpreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CherepovetsSpartak Moscowpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Dinamo MinskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- ShanghaiBarys Astanapreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →