KHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Dinamo Minsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk

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Model prediction for 30 October

Dinamo Minsk49%
Draw in regulation21%
Tractor Chelyabinsk29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk2.9–2.3
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

Dinamo Minsk

  • 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
  • 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
  • 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
  • 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3

Tractor Chelyabinsk

  • 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
  • 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
  • 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
  • 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
  • 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2

Head to head

  • 04.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Dinamo Minsk5:4
  • 06.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk4:1
  • 20.04.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Dinamo Minsk3:1
  • 18.04.2025Dinamo Minsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
  • 16.04.2025Dinamo Minsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk8:0

Full record: 33 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana1480654–40+1416
19Avangard Omsk1360722–34-1212
20Tractor Chelyabinsk1350824–33-910
21Sochi14301119–49-306

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →