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KHL · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg

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Model prediction for 2 November

Bars Kazan44%
Draw in regulation22%
SKA St. Petersburg34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bars Kazan are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Bars Kazan — No. 14, 15 pts; SKA St. Petersburg — No. 9, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Bars Kazan: 4 defeats in a row; SKA St. Petersburg: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bars Kazan 3 wins, SKA St. Petersburg 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg2.7–2.4
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bars Kazan
  • Bars Kazan goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Bars Kazan

  • 12.10Sochi2:3
  • 10.10Cherepovets1:4
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
  • 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
  • 30.09Barys Astana4:1

SKA St. Petersburg

  • 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
  • 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
  • 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
  • 06.10Cherepovets2:5
  • 03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO

Head to head

  • 18.12.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Bars Kazan3:2
  • 28.11.2025Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg5:2
  • 04.02.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Bars Kazan3:8
  • 15.11.2024Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg3:2 OT
  • 14.11.2023Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg2:4

Full record: 33 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai1281336–29+717
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana1480654–40+1416
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1571734–35-115
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →