KHL · Monday, 2 November, 19:00 MSK

Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg

Model prediction for 2 November

Bars Kazan44%

Draw in regulation22%

SKA St. Petersburg34%

Model estimate at 05:06 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bars Kazan are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg		2.7–2.4
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)		56%
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)		44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		54%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Bars Kazan
Bars Kazan goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Bars Kazan

12.10Sochi2:3
10.10Cherepovets1:4
05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
30.09Barys Astana4:1

SKA St. Petersburg

13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
06.10Cherepovets2:5
03.10Vladivostok6:5 SO

Head to head

18.12.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Bars Kazan3:2
28.11.2025Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg5:2
04.02.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Bars Kazan3:8
15.11.2024Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg3:2 OT
14.11.2023Bars Kazan — SKA St. Petersburg2:4

Full record: 33 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Shanghai	12	8	1	3	36–29	+7	17
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	SKA St. Petersburg	14	8	1	5	47–44	+3	17
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Khabarovsk	14	8	1	5	23–20	+3	17
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Spartak Moscow	14	7	2	5	36–28	+8	16
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Bars Kazan	15	7	1	7	34–35	-1	15
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference	Yekaterinburg	13	6	2	5	34–32	+2	14

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

19:00
Lokomotiv YaroslavlLadapreliminary
8020
1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →