NHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:3Came true
In short
Final score 5:3: the model's most likely outcome, Buffalo Sabres to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Buffalo Sabres 51%, Florida Panthers 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers | 2.8–2.8 | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Buffalo Sabres
- Buffalo Sabres goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
- 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
- 04.10Chicago Blackhawks4:3
- 02.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets3:6
- 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
- 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
- 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
- 30.09away · Carolina Hurricanes1:0 OT
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres2:3
- 03.02.2026Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres3:5
- 13.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers3:4
- 18.10.2025Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers3:0
- 13.04.2025Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 6 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 21 | Dallas Stars | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 |
Next matches
- Columbus Blue JacketsFlorida Panthers14 October · NHL58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Montreal CanadiensBuffalo Sabres14 October · NHL58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
NHL on the same day
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 121%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →