NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Carolina Hurricanes — Boston Bruins

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Model prediction for 28 October

Carolina Hurricanes52%
Draw in regulation22%
Boston Bruins26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Carolina Hurricanes are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Boston Bruins3.2–2.4
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 14.10Washington Capitals4:2
  • 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
  • 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
  • 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
  • 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4

Boston Bruins

  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Boston Bruins6:5 OT
  • 18.11.2025Boston Bruins — Carolina Hurricanes1:3
  • 01.11.2025Boston Bruins — Carolina Hurricanes2:1
  • 06.04.2025Boston Bruins — Carolina Hurricanes5:1
  • 07.03.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Boston Bruins3:2

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
11, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks540118–13+58

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →