NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Philadelphia Flyers — Columbus Blue Jackets

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Model prediction for 28 October

Philadelphia Flyers37%
Draw in regulation24%
Columbus Blue Jackets39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Philadelphia Flyers 49%, Columbus Blue Jackets 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts; Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 26, 4 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 0 wins, Columbus Blue Jackets 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Columbus Blue Jackets2.5–2.6
Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

Philadelphia Flyers

  • 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
  • 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
  • 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
  • 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
  • 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Columbus Blue Jackets2:3
  • 15.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 SO
  • 29.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Philadelphia Flyers5:3
  • 16.04.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Columbus Blue Jackets0:3
  • 15.01.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →