NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction for 28 October

Winnipeg Jets37%
Draw in regulation24%
Florida Panthers39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Winnipeg Jets 49%, Florida Panthers 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers2.6–2.7
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
  • 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
  • 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
  • 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT

Florida Panthers

  • 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets1:2
  • 23.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers1:2 SO
  • 20.11.2024Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers6:3
  • 17.11.2024Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets5:0
  • 25.11.2023Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets0:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs631220–18+27
14, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets531113–15-27
15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
18San Jose Sharks530213–17-46
19Florida Panthers622212–17-56
20Buffalo Sabres630316–22-66

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →