VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dyn. Altay

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Model prediction for 29 October

Chelmet Chelyabinsk53%
Draw in regulation21%
Dyn. Altay26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Chelmet Chelyabinsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Chelmet Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts; Dyn. Altay — No. 23, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Chelmet Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row; Dyn. Altay: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Dyn. Altay 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dyn. Altay3.0–2.2
Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

Chelmet Chelyabinsk

  • 14.10away · AKM2:4
  • 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
  • 04.10Bars3:4
  • 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
  • 30.09CSK VVS4:5 OT

Dyn. Altay

  • 13.10Olympia1:4
  • 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
  • 05.10away · Dizel1:3
  • 03.10away · Tambov0:2
  • 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4

Head to head

  • 27.01.2026Dyn. Altay — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:3 OT
  • 22.10.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dyn. Altay1:2 SO
  • 12.03.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 15.09.2024Dyn. Altay — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:4 OT
  • 22.01.2024Dyn. Altay — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
29Krasnoyarsk14401023–36-138
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk1232722–48-268

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →