KHL · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Cherepovets — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Cherepovets are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Cherepovets — No. 4, 20 pts; Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 19 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Cherepovets: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 2 wins, Nizhny Novgorod 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.6–2.4 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10SKA St. Petersburg2:0
- 10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
- 08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
- 06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
- 03.10Shanghai2:1 OT
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
Head to head
- 08.10.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Cherepovets2:3
- 31.03.2026Cherepovets — Nizhny Novgorod3:4
- 29.03.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Cherepovets3:2 OT
- 27.03.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Cherepovets3:1
- 25.03.2026Cherepovets — Nizhny Novgorod4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
KHL on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →