KHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
CSKA Moscow — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 22 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 7, 18 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 4 wins, Niznekamsk 1.
- Days of rest before the match: CSKA Moscow 9, Niznekamsk 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Niznekamsk | 2.7–1.9 | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 25.02.2026CSKA Moscow — Niznekamsk2:0
- 14.11.2025Niznekamsk — CSKA Moscow3:2
- 27.12.2024Niznekamsk — CSKA Moscow1:2 SO
- 22.12.2024CSKA Moscow — Niznekamsk7:4
- 13.11.2023CSKA Moscow — Niznekamsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 15 | 9 | +17 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
KHL on the same day
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 32682The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →