NHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets

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Model prediction for 1 November

Dallas Stars47%
Draw in regulation23%
Columbus Blue Jackets30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Stars are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Dallas Stars — No. 25, 5 pts; Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 26, 4 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 2 wins, Columbus Blue Jackets 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets3.0–2.5
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Dallas Stars

  • 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
  • 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
  • 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
  • 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
  • 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars1:0
  • 22.10.2025Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets1:5
  • 26.02.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars6:4
  • 03.02.2025Dallas Stars — Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 10.11.2023Columbus Blue Jackets — Dallas Stars2:5

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →