NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Dallas Stars — New Jersey Devils

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Model prediction for 28 October

Dallas Stars48%
Draw in regulation23%
New Jersey Devils29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Stars are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dallas Stars — New Jersey Devils2.9–2.3
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

Dallas Stars

  • 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
  • 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
  • 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
  • 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
  • 03.10St. Louis Blues0:4

New Jersey Devils

  • 14.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
  • 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Dallas Stars — New Jersey Devils4:6
  • 04.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Dallas Stars0:3
  • 05.03.2025Dallas Stars — New Jersey Devils4:3
  • 23.02.2025New Jersey Devils — Dallas Stars2:4
  • 15.03.2024Dallas Stars — New Jersey Devils2:6

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
21San Jose Sharks530213–17-46
22New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
23Dallas Stars521211–8+35
24St. Louis Blues521214–16-25

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →