Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Davos — Zurich
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Davos 52%, Zurich 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Davos — Zurich | 2.5–2.4 | |
| Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Davos
- Davos goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Servette2:3
- 09.10EHC Kloten1:4
- 03.10away · Biel3:4
- 02.10Ajoie3:1
- 29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Davos — Zurich2:1 OT
- 10.04.2026Zurich — Davos2:5
- 08.04.2026Davos — Zurich1:0
- 06.04.2026Zurich — Davos3:1
- 04.04.2026Davos — Zurich4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zug | 7 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
| 11 | Davos | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
National League on the same day
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →