Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 17 October, 20:45 MSK

Rapperswil-Jona — Biel

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Model prediction for 17 October

Rapperswil-Jona44%

Draw in regulation21%

Biel34%

Model estimate at 05:23 MSK

In short

Rapperswil-Jona are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

Rapperswil-Jona are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rapperswil-Jona — Biel		2.9–2.6
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		56%
Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Rapperswil-Jona
Rapperswil-Jona goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Rapperswil-Jona

10.10Lausanne1:4
09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5

Biel

10.10Lugano2:3
09.10away · Bern2:4
03.10Davos4:3
02.10away · Lausanne4:7
29.09away · Zurich3:6

Head to head

24.01.2026Biel — Rapperswil-Jona5:4
05.12.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel2:3 SO
17.10.2025Biel — Rapperswil-Jona4:6
23.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel5:2
15.02.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel3:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	11	2	1	1	7	23–40	-17	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

20:45
AjoieZug
3862
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
20:45
Ambri-PiottaServette
4852
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
20:45
DavosZurich
5248
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
20:45
FribourgLugano
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
20:45
Langnau TigersBern
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
20:45
LausanneEHC Kloten
7129
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →