KHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Dynamo Moscow — Khabarovsk

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Model prediction for 28 October

Dynamo Moscow50%
Draw in regulation23%
Khabarovsk28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Moscow are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Khabarovsk2.5–1.9
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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Form

Dynamo Moscow

  • 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
  • 07.10Shanghai2:3
  • 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
  • 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3

Khabarovsk

  • 12.10Lada1:0
  • 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
  • 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Khabarovsk — Dynamo Moscow4:0
  • 24.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Khabarovsk4:2
  • 22.09.2025Khabarovsk — Dynamo Moscow1:3
  • 29.10.2024Dynamo Moscow — Khabarovsk1:0
  • 22.09.2024Khabarovsk — Dynamo Moscow1:2

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1481523–20+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214
16Dynamo Moscow1662833–46-1314
17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok1453635–39-413

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →