KHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · VTB Arena
Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai
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2:3Missed
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Dynamo Moscow to win (65% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.
Dynamo Moscow are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai | 2.8–2.0 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 28.09Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2 OT
- 26.09Salavat Ufa1:3
- 24.09Dinamo Minsk4:3 OT
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
- 28.09Sochi4:1
- 26.09Dinamo Minsk2:1
Head to head
- 11.03.2026Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai4:2
- 10.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Shanghai1:4
- 28.10.2025Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow1:5
- 16.10.2025Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow2:3 SO
- 14.10.2025Shanghai — Dynamo Moscow3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
Next matches
- Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscow9 October · KHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 224%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
- ShanghaiDinamo Minsk12 October · KHL32682The most likely outcome came true: 220%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
KHL on the same day
- 38622The most likely outcome came true: 222%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 1:3.4.6
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.4
- 28722The most likely outcome came true: 219%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:3.5.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →