KHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · SKA Arena
Shanghai — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Dinamo Minsk to win (68% incl. overtime), came true.
Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — Dinamo Minsk | 2.3–3.2 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
- 28.09Sochi4:1
- 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
- 01.10CSKA Moscow1:4
Head to head
- 26.09.2026Shanghai — Dinamo Minsk2:1
- 10.09.2026Dinamo Minsk — Shanghai3:4 OT
- 24.01.2026Dinamo Minsk — Shanghai6:1
- 24.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Shanghai2:1 SO
- 11.10.2025Shanghai — Dinamo Minsk2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
Next matches
- Dinamo MinskMagnitogorsk14 October · KHL52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- ShanghaiTractor Chelyabinsk14 October · KHL40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
KHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 122%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 77231The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →