KHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · VTB Arena
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:5Came true
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, CSKA Moscow to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Dynamo Moscow 49%, CSKA Moscow 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10Shanghai2:3
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 28.09Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2 OT
- 26.09Salavat Ufa1:3
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
- 25.09away · Lada5:0
Head to head
- 03.10.2026CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 28.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:4
- 30.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow5:1
- 21.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow0:1 SO
- 01.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
Next matches
- Dynamo MoscowSKA St. Petersburg11 October · KHL53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3OTFinal score 4:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.1
- CSKA MoscowDynamo Moscow14 October · KHL60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.2
KHL on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
- 26742The most likely outcome came true: 219%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →