NHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Edmonton Oilers are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames | 3.4–2.5 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
- 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Calgary Flames — Edmonton Oilers4:3
- 28.12.2025Calgary Flames — Edmonton Oilers3:2
- 24.12.2025Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames5:1
- 09.10.2025Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames3:4 SO
- 30.03.2025Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Washington CapitalsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Colorado AvalancheNew Jersey Devilspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Seattle KrakenToronto Maple Leafspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →