NHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Seattle Kraken — Toronto Maple Leafs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Seattle Kraken are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
- 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
- 14.10away · Utah Mammoth4:5
- 11.10away · Colorado Avalanche6:3
- 09.10away · Vegas Golden Knights3:4 SO
- 07.10Nashville Predators5:4 OT
- 04.10Ottawa Senators2:3
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Seattle Kraken — Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
- 19.10.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Seattle Kraken3:4 OT
- 07.02.2025Seattle Kraken — Toronto Maple Leafs1:3
- 01.11.2024Toronto Maple Leafs — Seattle Kraken4:1
- 22.01.2024Seattle Kraken — Toronto Maple Leafs1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Washington CapitalsPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Edmonton OilersCalgary Flamespreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Colorado AvalancheNew Jersey Devilspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →