NHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Washington Capitals — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Washington Capitals are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Philadelphia Flyers | 3.0–2.2 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Washington Capitals — Philadelphia Flyers6:4
- 12.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Washington Capitals4:1
- 26.02.2026Washington Capitals — Philadelphia Flyers3:1
- 04.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Washington Capitals4:2
- 21.03.2025Washington Capitals — Philadelphia Flyers3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Edmonton OilersCalgary Flamespreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Colorado AvalancheNew Jersey Devilspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Seattle KrakenToronto Maple Leafspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →