Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, 21:45 MSK

EHC Kloten — Ajoie

Model prediction for 27 October

EHC Kloten51%

Draw in regulation22%

Ajoie27%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

EHC Kloten are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

EHC Kloten are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

League table: EHC Kloten — No. 14, 9 pts; Ajoie — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 5 meetings: EHC Kloten 2 wins, Ajoie 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: EHC Kloten — Ajoie		2.8–2.1
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)		64%
Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout)		36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		60%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap EHC Kloten
EHC Kloten goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

EHC Kloten

11.10Zug1:3
09.10away · Davos4:1
03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
02.10Fribourg1:4
29.09away · Servette0:4

Ajoie

10.10Langnau Tigers5:4 OT
08.10away · Fribourg2:7
04.10Lugano5:4
02.10away · Davos1:3
29.09Lausanne3:0

Head to head

19.09.2026Ajoie — EHC Kloten4:3 OT
24.01.2026Ajoie — EHC Kloten4:2
28.11.2025EHC Kloten — Ajoie2:3
17.10.2025Ajoie — EHC Kloten0:3
23.09.2025EHC Kloten — Ajoie2:1 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Fribourg	11	4	2	2	3	38–29	+9	18
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Ajoie	11	2	4	2	3	35–38	-3	16
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Lugano	10	4	1	1	4	36–33	+3	15
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	11	2	1	1	7	23–40	-17	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
Ambri-PiottaBielpreliminary
5347
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
21:45
BernZurichpreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
21:45
FribourgDavospreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
21:45
LausanneLangnau Tigerspreliminary
6139
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
21:45
Rapperswil-JonaServettepreliminary
5050
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
21:45
ZugLuganopreliminary
5545
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →