Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

EHC Kloten — Zurich

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Model prediction for 31 October

EHC Kloten26%
Draw in regulation22%
Zurich52%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zurich are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: EHC Kloten — Zurich1.9–2.6
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

EHC Kloten

  • 11.10Zug1:3
  • 09.10away · Davos4:1
  • 03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
  • 02.10Fribourg1:4
  • 29.09away · Servette0:4

Zurich

  • 10.10Fribourg5:4 OT
  • 09.10away · Lugano3:2 OT
  • 03.10Lausanne3:2 OT
  • 29.09Biel6:3
  • 26.09EHC Kloten3:2

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026Zurich — EHC Kloten3:2
  • 27.01.2026EHC Kloten — Zurich2:4
  • 11.01.2026Zurich — EHC Kloten1:0
  • 25.10.2025EHC Kloten — Zurich1:4
  • 30.09.2025Zurich — EHC Kloten2:0

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZurich10730042–24+1827
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette11522233–29+421
13, Relegation play-offBiel10301631–35-410
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten11211723–40-179

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • BernZugpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • LausanneDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • ServetteBielpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →