DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: ERC Ingolstadt 50%, Eisbaren Berlin 50% including overtime.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin | 3.0–3.0 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
- 11.10away · Bremerhaven3:0
- 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
- 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
- 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
- 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt2:1
- 18.12.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin8:5
- 26.11.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin5:2
- 05.10.2025Eisbaren Berlin — ERC Ingolstadt3:0
- 26.02.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Eisbaren Berlin3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 8 | 6 | +19 | 20 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- Adler MannheimBremerhavenpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
- Iserlohn RoostersSchwenningerpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Krefeld PinguineKolnerpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Nurnberg Ice TigersGrizzly Wolfsburgpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Straubing TigersMunchenpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →