DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Iserlohn Roosters — Schwenninger

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Model prediction for 30 October

Iserlohn Roosters38%
Draw in regulation22%
Schwenninger40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Iserlohn Roosters 49%, Schwenninger 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iserlohn Roosters — Schwenninger2.6–2.6
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 11.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 09.10away · Straubing Tigers4:11
  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4

Schwenninger

  • 11.10Munchen3:4
  • 09.10away · Kolner4:1
  • 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
  • 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Schwenninger — Iserlohn Roosters3:2
  • 26.12.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Schwenninger4:2
  • 16.11.2025Schwenninger — Iserlohn Roosters3:0
  • 14.09.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Schwenninger2:3 SO
  • 02.03.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Schwenninger4:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →