DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Adler Mannheim — Bremerhaven

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Model prediction for 30 October

Adler Mannheim48%
Draw in regulation22%
Bremerhaven31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Adler Mannheim are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Adler Mannheim — Bremerhaven2.8–2.3
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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Form

Adler Mannheim

  • 11.10Straubing Tigers2:1
  • 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
  • 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
  • 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
  • 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT

Bremerhaven

  • 11.10Eisbaren Berlin0:3
  • 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
  • 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
  • 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Adler Mannheim — Bremerhaven4:3
  • 31.03.2026Bremerhaven — Adler Mannheim6:1
  • 29.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Bremerhaven5:1
  • 27.03.2026Bremerhaven — Adler Mannheim4:5 OT
  • 25.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Bremerhaven5:2

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →