NHL · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction and result

1:4Missed
Florida Panthers39%
Draw in regulation24%
Minnesota Wild37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Florida Panthers to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Close to a coin flip: Florida Panthers 51%, Minnesota Wild 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Minnesota Wild2.7–2.7
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
  • 30.09away · Carolina Hurricanes1:0 OT
  • 16.04Detroit Red Wings8:1

Minnesota Wild

  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
  • 04.10Boston Bruins4:1
  • 02.10away · Nashville Predators3:1
  • 14.05away · Colorado Avalanche3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 27.03.2026Florida Panthers — Minnesota Wild2:3
  • 25.01.2026Minnesota Wild — Florida Panthers3:4 OT
  • 19.12.2024Minnesota Wild — Florida Panthers1:6
  • 23.10.2024Florida Panthers — Minnesota Wild1:5
  • 20.01.2024Florida Panthers — Minnesota Wild4:6

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers541025–17+89
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild641119–11+89
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken640226–17+98
18San Jose Sharks530213–17-46
19Florida Panthers622212–17-56
20Buffalo Sabres630316–22-66

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →