NHL · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues — Columbus Blue Jackets

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Model prediction and result

5:3Came true
St. Louis Blues43%
Draw in regulation23%
Columbus Blue Jackets34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 5:3: the model's most likely outcome, St. Louis Blues to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.

St. Louis Blues are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • St. Louis Blues are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.
  • Columbus Blue Jackets: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Columbus Blue Jackets3.0–2.7
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • St. Louis Blues goals
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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
  • 03.10away · Dallas Stars4:0
  • 17.04away · Utah Mammoth5:3

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3
  • 15.04Washington Capitals1:2
  • 13.04Boston Bruins2:3

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026St. Louis Blues — Columbus Blue Jackets3:5
  • 02.11.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — St. Louis Blues3:2
  • 12.01.2025St. Louis Blues — Columbus Blue Jackets1:2
  • 05.01.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — St. Louis Blues6:4
  • 31.01.2024St. Louis Blues — Columbus Blue Jackets0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
21Dallas Stars521211–8+35
22St. Louis Blues521214–16-25
23Montreal Canadiens521215–19-45
24New York Islanders520316–13+34
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →