NHL · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres — Utah Mammoth
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Utah Mammoth to win (50% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Buffalo Sabres 50%, Utah Mammoth 50% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Buffalo Sabres 0 wins, Utah Mammoth 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres — Utah Mammoth | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Buffalo Sabres
- Buffalo Sabres goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
- 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
- 04.10Chicago Blackhawks4:3
- 02.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets3:6
- 19.05Montreal Canadiens2:3 OT
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
- 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1
- 02.10Chicago Blackhawks6:0
Head to head
- 13.11.2025Utah Mammoth — Buffalo Sabres5:2
- 05.11.2025Buffalo Sabres — Utah Mammoth1:2 OT
- 21.03.2025Utah Mammoth — Buffalo Sabres5:2
- 07.12.2024Buffalo Sabres — Utah Mammoth2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
Next matches
- Buffalo SabresFlorida Panthers12 October · NHL51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- Utah MammothToronto Maple Leafs14 October · NHL61391The most likely outcome came true: 122%5:4Final score 5:4. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
- 71291The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%1:0SOFinal score 1:0 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1SOFinal score 2:1 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →