DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Frankfurt Lowen — Iserlohn Roosters

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Model prediction for 18 October

Frankfurt Lowen46%
Draw in regulation22%
Iserlohn Roosters33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Frankfurt Lowen are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Frankfurt Lowen are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Iserlohn Roosters2.8–2.4
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
  • 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
  • 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
  • 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
  • 27.09away · Munchen4:1

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 11.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 09.10away · Straubing Tigers4:11
  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Iserlohn Roosters4:5 OT
  • 21.12.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Frankfurt Lowen6:4
  • 21.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Iserlohn Roosters3:0
  • 02.10.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Frankfurt Lowen3:4
  • 30.01.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Frankfurt Lowen3:4 SO

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →