DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Adler Mannheim — Schwenninger

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Model prediction for 18 October

Adler Mannheim58%
Draw in regulation19%
Schwenninger23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Adler Mannheim are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Adler Mannheim — Schwenninger3.3–2.2
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Adler Mannheim goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Adler Mannheim

  • 11.10Straubing Tigers2:1
  • 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
  • 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
  • 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
  • 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT

Schwenninger

  • 11.10Munchen3:4
  • 09.10away · Kolner4:1
  • 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
  • 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Schwenninger4:2
  • 12.12.2025Schwenninger — Adler Mannheim0:5
  • 28.11.2025Schwenninger — Adler Mannheim2:4
  • 17.10.2025Adler Mannheim — Schwenninger0:3
  • 31.01.2025Schwenninger — Adler Mannheim2:5

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →