DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Kolner — Bremerhaven

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Model prediction for 18 October

Kolner45%
Draw in regulation21%
Bremerhaven34%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Kolner are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kolner — Bremerhaven2.9–2.6
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kolner
  • Kolner goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Bremerhaven

  • 11.10Eisbaren Berlin0:3
  • 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
  • 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
  • 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Bremerhaven — Kolner2:4
  • 26.12.2025Kolner — Bremerhaven3:0
  • 07.12.2025Bremerhaven — Kolner2:5
  • 02.10.2025Kolner — Bremerhaven4:1
  • 28.03.2025Kolner — Bremerhaven3:1

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →